part of: the surrounding story · about: COVID-19 vaccine
What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine?
exclusive promoted from measurement
About: COVID-19 vaccine · pregnant women vaccinated in first or second trimester
lens: Evidence-weighted Structural · as of 2026-10-08 23:59 UTC back to now
You are looking at what this model believed on 2026-10-08, not at what it believes now. Belief had not been computed for this Question yet — so there are no shares to show, and that blank is the honest reading, not a missing page. The gap between when things happened and when we learned them is the fog of war — the two clocks.
The split — every branch
Shares under Evidence-weighted. Belief may rank these branches; it may never hide one — and the last bar, unknown, is a branch too.
82% of women who received a COVID-19 vaccine during their first or second trimester… is currently leading — not established.
The branches, one by one
82% of women who received a COVID-19 vaccine during their first or second trimester suffered a miscarriage.
Supports
- supports The increase in miscarriage rate seen with the mRNA COVID vaccines is bigger than that seen with thalidomide. diagnostic circumstantial moderate ▤ A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel
Challenges
- challenges Subsequent research found no increased risk of miscarriage associated with COVID-19 vaccination. diagnostic circumstantial moderate ▤ GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried
- challenges More than 10,000 pregnant women had already been vaccinated and no issues have arisen. diagnostic circumstantial moderate ▤ GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried
- challenges Fauci noted that more than 10,000 pregnant women had already been vaccinated with no reported issues. diagnostic circumstantial moderate ▤ Trump's Vaccine Order Lands Same Day as Fauci Text Leak
- challenges Months later, Dr. Anthony Fauci, as the Biden White House’s chief medical adviser, said tens of thousands of vaccinated pregnant women show no indication of increased adverse issues… diagnostic circumstantial strong ▤ Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show
- challenges Dr. Anthony Fauci publicly insisted there were “no red flags” for pregnant women diagnostic circumstantial weak ▤ Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show
- challenges On Feb. 3, Dr. Anthony Fauci said during a livestream with the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) that the FDA had found no red flags about pregnant women regarding the… diagnostic circumstantial moderate ▤ Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show
The miscarriage rate in vaccinated women has jumped to 15%.
Supports
Nothing supports this branch yet — untested, which is not the same as refuted.
Challenges
Nothing argues against this branch yet.
The study reported a 12.6% miscarriage rate among participants with completed pregnancies, consistent with expected rates.
Supports
- supports April 2021 NEJM study diagnostic artifact document/record
Challenges
- challenges In January 2021, Dr. Anthony Fauci, Dr. Rochelle Walensky, and Dr. Vivek Murthy discussed theoretical concerns about miscarriage while safety data remained limited. diagnostic circumstantial moderate ▤ GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried
- challenges The COVID vaccine was sold as "safe in pregnancy" when it was far from it. diagnostic circumstantial weak ▤ A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel
What would change this
The evidence that would move this Question — read straight off the structure, not editorialised. These are the places where the model is explicitly waiting to be corrected.
Branches nothing has tested yet — evidence here would move the most:
- 82% of women who received a COVID-19 vaccine during their first or second trimester suffered a miscarriage.
- The miscarriage rate in vaccinated women has jumped to 15%.
- The study reported a 12.6% miscarriage rate among participants with completed pregnancies, consistent with expected rates.
Where this leads — the ranked narratives
Narrative ranking pending for this neighbourhood — the possible worlds through this Question have not been enumerated yet.
Recent developments
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Rand Paul questioned the validity of the sweeping pardon former President Joe Biden…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Rand Paul suggested that Anthony Fauci isn’t liable for anything as long as he tells the…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Anthony Fauci excoriated Rand Paul for an “obvious obsession with calling for my…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Rand Paul asked Anthony Fauci whether the CIA had ever funded NIAID, and later revealed…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Republicans led by Chairman Rand Paul demanded answers on the origins of the pandemic…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Senator Joni Ernst said Anthony Fauci approved the use of aborted baby body parts in mice…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: An assistant deleted tons of emails in 2024, but Anthony Fauci testified that he did not…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: GOP and Democratic members of the Senate Homeland Security Committee continued quizzing…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Anthony Fauci refused to answer Republican senators' questions about the COVID‑19…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Anthony Fauci took the Fifth Amendment 111 times, including on questions about CIA…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: Rand Paul announced that his committee would begin contempt of Congress proceedings…see the page as it stood then
- What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine? — answer on the table: The FDA approved pre‑exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in 2012.see the page as it stood then
Sources bearing on this Question
- A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel
- GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried
- Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show
- Trump's Vaccine Order Lands Same Day as Fauci Text Leak
Numbers on this page are computed under Evidence-weighted (log-odds@1) — how belief is computed. Related views: the whole story · timeline · explore the narratives.
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