{
  "id": "08e83e3d-5495-4e68-99db-42c6a42c172e",
  "label": "What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine?",
  "url": "/question/what-is-the-miscarriage-rate-among-pregnant-women-who-receive-a-covid--08e83e3d",
  "lens": "log-odds@1",
  "lensName": "Evidence-weighted",
  "asof": null,
  "exclusive": true,
  "promotedAt": "2026-09-08T18:01:39.084Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-22T15:02:48.728Z",
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      "kind": "entity",
      "label": "COVID-19 vaccine"
    },
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      "kind": "entity",
      "label": "pregnant women vaccinated in first or second trimester"
    }
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      "label": "82% of women who received a COVID-19 vaccine during their first or second trimester suffered a miscarriage.",
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          "label": "The increase in miscarriage rate seen with the mRNA COVID vaccines is bigger than that seen with thalidomide.",
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              "label": "A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel"
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          "label": "Subsequent research found no increased risk of miscarriage associated with COVID-19 vaccination.",
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              "label": "GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried"
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          "label": "More than 10,000 pregnant women had already been vaccinated and no issues have arisen.",
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          "label": "Fauci noted that more than 10,000 pregnant women had already been vaccinated with no reported issues.",
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              "label": "Trump's Vaccine Order Lands Same Day as Fauci Text Leak"
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          "label": "Months later, Dr. Anthony Fauci, as the Biden White House’s chief medical adviser, said tens of thousands of vaccinated pregnant women show no indication of increased adverse issues compared to unvaccinated pregnant women",
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              "label": "Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show"
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          "label": "Dr. Anthony Fauci publicly insisted there were “no red flags” for pregnant women",
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          "label": "On Feb. 3, Dr. Anthony Fauci said during a livestream with the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) that the FDA had found no red flags about pregnant women regarding the COVID‑19 vaccine",
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              "label": "Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show"
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      "claimId": "c78fd604-d458-4a66-b264-b71a2f6b4fa2",
      "label": "The miscarriage rate in vaccinated women has jumped to 15%.",
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      "claimId": "693b3f8a-2065-4fab-9c59-be8338e8badd",
      "label": "The study reported a 12.6% miscarriage rate among participants with completed pregnancies, consistent with expected rates.",
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      "share": null,
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          "claimId": "a04731ef-0e00-4786-8ebc-38a32e91dcc8",
          "label": "April 2021 NEJM study",
          "direction": "supports",
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        {
          "claimId": "2343a8cc-b2e6-469b-9b07-4ee2e99bc6f7",
          "label": "In January 2021, Dr. Anthony Fauci, Dr. Rochelle Walensky, and Dr. Vivek Murthy discussed theoretical concerns about miscarriage while safety data remained limited.",
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              "label": "GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried"
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          "claimId": "78d0d68c-4b0a-4211-97dd-b1696204b8d8",
          "label": "The COVID vaccine was sold as \"safe in pregnancy\" when it was far from it.",
          "direction": "challenges",
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              "label": "A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel"
            }
          ]
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    }
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  "residual": {
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    "answers": 3,
    "spark": []
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "6dfd42ac-8340-4e4a-8c1e-0cb51d4a68c8",
      "kind": "source",
      "label": "A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel"
    },
    {
      "id": "d0e6b42e-928d-4e88-8dad-0fc3365bf5d3",
      "kind": "source",
      "label": "GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried"
    },
    {
      "id": "72b0ab30-a809-4ffc-abe3-fa3a7f66ac6e",
      "kind": "source",
      "label": "Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show"
    },
    {
      "id": "531e646e-a97d-4963-a0c5-f65d960509ca",
      "kind": "source",
      "label": "Trump's Vaccine Order Lands Same Day as Fauci Text Leak"
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  "narratives": [],
  "openCriticalQuestions": [],
  "honesty": "Shares are belief under the named lens, computed from evidence — never assigned. Quote the residual with the share; leading is not proven; repetition never moves a number."
}