A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel
Published by Arkmedic's blog
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Who is named
The characters and things this document talks about — 11 in alls. Each links to everything else the record knows about them.
People 3
Claims made
Every claim in this document. Firsthand = asserted on its own basis; secondhand = recounted from elsewhere, carrying no independent weight.
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The normal miscarriage rate of a healthy population is somewhere around 5-6%.
The normal miscarriage rate of a healthy population is somewhere around 5-6%.
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For years, studies have been misrepresenting rates of 15-20% so that when new drugs are tested in pregnancy, a doubling of the miscarriage rate will fly under the radar.
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The COVID vaccine was sold as "safe in pregnancy" when it was far from it.
This is how the COVID vaccine managed to be sold as "safe in pregnancy" when it was far from it.
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The data was misrepresented by the CDC and others to cover up the scandal.
This article shows you how the data was misrepresented by the CDC and others to cover up the scandal.
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The Naert dataset is the biggest publication of miscarriage data to date.
The Naert dataset is the biggest (to date) publication of miscarriage data where the authors were able to follow a whole cohort of pregnancies.
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The Naert study ignored pregnancy losses prior to 6 weeks.
One criticism levelled against the Naert paper ... is that it ignores pregnancy losses prior to 6 weeks.
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Zauche also removed early pregnancy losses from her analysis.
However, Zauche (who collected the V-safe pregnancy data for the COVID vaccine registry) also removed these patients from her analysis.
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The p‑value on this calculation was 0.001 meaning that it was a one‑in‑a‑thousand chance that this was a random event.
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The p‑value for the hazard‑ratio calculation was 0.001.
The p‑value on this calculation was 0.001 meaning that it was a one‑in‑a‑thousand chance that this was a random event.
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In that presentation there were an estimated 775 miscarriages out of 6,352 first trimester pregnancies.
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The raw miscarriage rate from the later Zauche data is 12.2%.
Plugging these numbers into our model we get a “raw” miscarriage rate of 12.2% (775/6352).
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The background miscarriage rate of a normal population in 2023 is 5‑6%.
The background miscarriage rate of a normal population in 2023 is 5‑6%.
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The miscarriage rate in vaccinated women has jumped to 15%.
Following the rollout of the COVID vaccines all evidence that has been submitted shows that the miscarriage rate in vaccinated women has jumped to 15%.
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The increase in miscarriages seen with the mRNA COVID vaccines is bigger than that seen with thalidomide.
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According to the latest UK HES statistics 103,277 miscarriages in 1,889,974 pregnancies for 2018-2021, which is 5.5%.
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The UK miscarriage rate has remained relatively constant at under 6% since 2013.
This figure has remained relatively constant at under 6% since 2013.
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HES data do not include terminations, which have remained above 200,000 annually since 2018.
The HES data do not include terminations (“induced abortions”), which have remained above 200,000 annually since 2018.
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Adding abortions into the denominator reduces the background miscarriage rate in the UK to 4.1%.
Adding abortions into the denominator reduces the background miscarriage rate in the UK to 4.1%.
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The CDC chose not to invite a control group to their V‑safe study.
The CDC chose not to invite a control group to their study (I wonder why).
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The CDC deliberately chose not to create a control group to hide the increase in miscarriages.
They deliberately chose not to, to hide the increase in miscarriages.
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The CDC has not released the V‑safe data for independent analysis.
The CDC refuse to release the V‑safe data for independent analysis.
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The TGA had information in preclinical reports that there was an increase in preimplantation losses in animal studies.
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The CDC, Viki Male, Kevin Ault and others have covered up the increased miscarriage rate.
The CDC, Viki Male, Kevin Ault, and the main proponents of the “it’s safe, honest” dogma, have covered it up.
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Should the V‑safe pregnancy registry data be immediately released for public academic re‑analysis?
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Where it collides
1 claim in this document contradict another account. Collision is shown as structure — it never edits a belief, it makes the disagreement legible.
- The CDC deliberately chose not to create a control group to hide the increase in miscarriages.
collides with Months later, Dr. Anthony Fauci, as the Biden White House’s chief medical adviser, said tens of thousands of vaccinated pregnant women show no indication of increased adverse issues compared to unvaccinated pregnant women · Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show
Questions it bears on
Open questions this document's claims are offered as answers to.
Syndication
Who is repeating whom. This is shown as structure, and it is the reason a chorus never moves a belief bar: forty tellings of one assertion are still one.
- possibly restates A Decentralized Network of Overlapping Interests: Chabad, Christian Zionism, Trump, Netanyahu, the Settler Movement and the Third Temple unconfirmed
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