answers: How did police identify Joshua Kerry as the perpetrator?

The Sun obtained CCTV showing Joshua Kerry opening the passenger side of a car

No event time was recorded for this claim — the text gave nothing to anchor it to, and a guessed date would be worse than none.

Standing

lens: Evidence-weighted Structural

0.3% belief under Evidence-weighted · -5.83 log-odds · derived, never stored

Every contribution to this claim's belief under Evidence-weighted. Starting point: the floor (-3 log-odds — an unsupported claim starts near zero, not at "maybe"). Contributions sum to -2.83; the result is -5.83 log-odds = 0.3%.
Direction What it rests on Base Leg CQ factor Contribution
challenge The CCTV footage does not show Joshua Kerry leaving the address
evidential, independent leg #1 ⇒ ÷1
2 #1 ×1 -2.00
challenge The family says the suspect does not look like the CCTV footage
evidential, independent leg #2 ⇒ ÷2
1 #2 ×1 -0.50
challenge Police have not shown CCTV of the car on the drive or of Joshua Kerry breaking into Anne Widdecombe's property
evidential, independent leg #3 ⇒ ÷3
1 #3 ×1 -0.33

0 evidentiary legs 1 source 3 challenges challenged

Questions this bears on

Offered as an answer to:

How did police identify Joshua Kerry as the perpetrator?

2 branches · 1 source

0.3% The Sun obtained CCTV showing Joshua Kerry opening the passenger side of a car
62% unknown — none of the above

What bears on it

Shown to three levels; follow any claim to see its own structure.

Voices

Voices are counted, never weighed. How many people say a thing is structure worth seeing; it is not, by itself, a reason to believe it.

What the documents actually said

The verbatim text each extraction read before resolving it into this canonical claim. Quoted, never republished.

Sources

Who and what it involves

Origin: extracted from Ann Widdecombe Case Just Got More MYSTERIOUS · 2026-07-21 00:03