part of: the surrounding story · about: CCTV footage
Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage?
open list promoted from measurement
About: CCTV footage · Joshua Kerry
lens: Evidence-weighted Structural · as of 2026-09-09 23:59 UTC back to now
You are looking at what this model believed on 2026-09-09, not at what it believes now. Belief had not been computed for this Question yet — so there are no shares to show, and that blank is the honest reading, not a missing page. The gap between when things happened and when we learned them is the fog of war — the two clocks.
The split — every branch
Under Structural there are no percentages at all: these are counts of how well tested each branch is, which is a different claim from how likely it is. Untested is not the same as refuted.
The branches, one by one
The suspect appears overweight/chubby
Supports
Nothing supports this branch yet — untested, which is not the same as refuted.
Challenges
- challenges The CCTV footage does not show Joshua Kerry leaving the address diagnostic circumstantial moderate ▤ Ann Widdecombe Case Just Got More MYSTERIOUS
Police claim Joshua Kerry drove without glasses
Supports
Nothing supports this branch yet — untested, which is not the same as refuted.
Challenges
Nothing argues against this branch yet.
The suspect was seen with a wooden bat sticking out of his cargo shorts
Supports
Nothing supports this branch yet — untested, which is not the same as refuted.
Challenges
Nothing argues against this branch yet.
What would change this
The evidence that would move this Question — read straight off the structure, not editorialised. These are the places where the model is explicitly waiting to be corrected.
Branches nothing has tested yet — evidence here would move the most:
- The suspect appears overweight/chubby
- Police claim Joshua Kerry drove without glasses
- The suspect was seen with a wooden bat sticking out of his cargo shorts
Where this leads — the ranked narratives
Narrative ranking pending for this neighbourhood — the possible worlds through this Question have not been enumerated yet.
Recent developments
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Joshua Kerry opened the passenger side of a car.see the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Joshua Kerry opened the passenger side of a car.see the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: The suspect was seen with a wooden bat sticking out of his cargo shortssee the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Police have not shown CCTV of the car on the drive or of Joshua Kerry breaking into Anne…see the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Police claim Joshua Kerry is 28 years old and from Rotherhamsee the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Russian and communist material was discovered on Joshua Kerry's devicesee the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Police claim Joshua Kerry drove without glassessee the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Joshua Kerry is being quizzed by the policesee the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Footage of Joshua Kerry was released last weeksee the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: Police have released a picture of Joshua Kerry holding a jar of Easter eggs for a charity…see the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: The family believes that the death of Joshua Kerry's father may have caused him to spiral…see the page as it stood then
- Why does the suspect appear different from the CCTV footage? — answer on the table: The suspect's car is a Vauxhall Corser with a 45 L fuel tanksee the page as it stood then
Sources bearing on this Question
Numbers on this page are computed under Structural (structural@1) — how belief is computed. Related views: the whole story · timeline · explore the narratives.
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