part of: the surrounding story · about: Lisa McClain
Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate?
exclusive promoted from measurement
About: Lisa McClain · New England Journal of Medicine
lens: Evidence-weighted Structural · as of 2026-09-10 23:59 UTC back to now
You are looking at what this model believed on 2026-09-10, not at what it believes now. Belief had not been computed for this Question yet — so there are no shares to show, and that blank is the honest reading, not a missing page. The gap between when things happened and when we learned them is the fog of war — the two clocks.
The split — every branch
Under Structural there are no percentages at all: these are counts of how well tested each branch is, which is a different claim from how likely it is. Untested is not the same as refuted.
The branches, one by one
These percentages are well within the range expected as an outcome for this age group of persons whose other underlying medical conditions are unknown.
Supports
Nothing supports this branch yet — untested, which is not the same as refuted.
Challenges
- challenges The 82% figure was reached by excluding 700 women who gave birth after being vaccinated in their third trimester while still counting early pregnancy losses. circumstantial strong ▤ GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried
- challenges The New England Journal of Medicine said 82% who got the vaccine in their first or second trimester had a miscarriage. circumstantial strong ▤ GOP Rep Falsely Claims 82% of Women Vaccinated in First Two Trimesters Miscarried
What would change this
The evidence that would move this Question — read straight off the structure, not editorialised. These are the places where the model is explicitly waiting to be corrected.
Branches nothing has tested yet — evidence here would move the most:
Where this leads — the ranked narratives
Narrative ranking pending for this neighbourhood — the possible worlds through this Question have not been enumerated yet.
Recent developments
- Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate? — answer on the table: The New England Journal of Medicine said 82% who got the vaccine in their first or second…see the page as it stood then
- Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate? — answer on the table: The 82% figure was reached by excluding 700 women who gave birth after being vaccinated…see the page as it stood then
- Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate? — answer on the table: These percentages are well within the range expected as an outcome for this age group of…see the page as it stood then
- These percentages are well within the range expected as an outcome for this age group of… became a choosable branch of Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate?see the page as it stood then
- Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate? — answer on the table: The New England Journal of Medicine said 82% who got the vaccine in their first or second…see the page as it stood then
- Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate? — answer on the table: The 82% figure was reached by excluding 700 women who gave birth after being vaccinated…see the page as it stood then
- Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate? — answer on the table: These percentages are well within the range expected as an outcome for this age group of…see the page as it stood then
- New open question: Was the representation of the study findings on miscarriage rates accurate?see the page as it stood then
Sources bearing on this Question
Numbers on this page are computed under Structural (structural@1) — how belief is computed. Related views: the whole story · timeline · explore the narratives.
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