Swedish investigators find traces of explosives on a recovered buoy, confirming it was a deliberate act of sabotage in August 2023.

2023-08-01 → 2023-09-01

Standing

lens: Evidence-weighted Structural

7.6% belief under Evidence-weighted · -2.50 log-odds · derived, never stored

Every contribution to this claim's belief under **Evidence-weighted**. Starting point: the floor (-3 log-odds — an unsupported claim starts near zero, not at "maybe"). Contributions sum to +0.50; the result is -2.50 log-odds = 7.6%.
Direction	What it rests on	Base	Leg	CQ factor	Contribution
support	traces of explosives evidential, independent leg #1 ⇒ ÷1	0.5	#1	×1	+0.50

1 evidentiary leg 1 source 0 challenges supported

Shown to three levels; follow any claim to see its own structure.

Voices are counted, never weighed. How many people say a thing is structure worth seeing; it is not, by itself, a reason to believe it.

The verbatim text each extraction read before resolving it into this canonical claim. Quoted, never republished.

Origin: extracted from Nordstream Pipeline Sabotage Timeline · 2026-07-18 09:56