Seismologists registered two blasts on the seabed on 26 September 2022, citing readings from the Swedish National Seismic Network.

2022-09-26 → 2022-09-27

Standing

lens: Evidence-weighted Structural

9.5% belief under Evidence-weighted · -2.25 log-odds · derived, never stored

Every contribution to this claim's belief under Evidence-weighted. Starting point: the floor (-3 log-odds — an unsupported claim starts near zero, not at "maybe"). Contributions sum to +0.75; the result is -2.25 log-odds = 9.5%.
Direction What it rests on Base Leg CQ factor Contribution
support Swedish seismic readings
evidential, independent leg #1 ⇒ ÷1
0.5 #1 ×1 +0.50
support Swedish National Seismic Network readings
evidential, independent leg #2 ⇒ ÷2
0.5 #2 ×1 +0.25

2 evidentiary legs 1 source 0 challenges supported

What bears on it

Shown to three levels; follow any claim to see its own structure.

Voices

Voices are counted, never weighed. How many people say a thing is structure worth seeing; it is not, by itself, a reason to believe it.

What the documents actually said

The verbatim text each extraction read before resolving it into this canonical claim. Quoted, never republished.

Sources

Origin: produced by extractor:openai/gpt-oss-120b@v4