Oleksiy Arestovych predicted with 99.9% certainty that if Ukraine continued to pursue NATO membership, Russia would go to war in 2021 or 2022 to stop it.
hedged in the source 2019-01-01 → 2020-01-01
Oleksiy Arestovych predicted Russia
Standing
lens: Evidence-weighted Structural
No belief has been computed for this claim under Evidence-weighted yet.
What bears on it
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Voices
- u/DiggyJunior independent hedged
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What the documents actually said
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- Oleksiy Arestovych predicted with 99.9% certainty that if Ukraine continued to pursue NATO membership, Russia would go to war in 2021 or 2022 to stop it.
Oleksiy Arestovych, Zelensky's suave press secretary at the time, said he predicted with 99.9% certainty that if Ukraine continued to pursue NATO membership then Russia would go to war in 2021 or 2022 to stop it
Sources
Who and what it involves
Origin: extracted from Flashback to 2019: Oleksiy Arestovych, Zelensky's suave press secretary at the time, said he predicted with 99.9% certainty that if Ukraine continued to pursue NATO membership then Russia would go to war in 2021 or 2022 to stop it · 2026-10-16 16:02