Extending the disruption to hard‑to‑substitute inputs lowers Chinese GDP growth by 0.9 percentage points and raises inflation by 2.6 percentage points at the 2027 peak, with effects persisting through 2028.

2027-01-01 → 2028-01-01

Standing

lens: Evidence-weighted Structural

No belief has been computed for this claim under Evidence-weighted yet.

What bears on it

Nothing supports or challenges this claim yet — untested, which is not the same as refuted.

Voices

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Sources

No source is recorded on this claim directly. It entered the record through The ECB Maps the Trap, Cracks Form and Bessent Slips Up .

Origin: extracted from The ECB Maps the Trap, Cracks Form and Bessent Slips Up · 2026-09-11 07:39