# A miscarriage of statistics: The thalidomide sequel
*Canonical page:* https://truthscore.com/source/6dfd42ac
*Machine twins:* https://truthscore.com/source/6dfd42ac.md · JSON at https://truthscore.com/api/v1

Publisher: Arkmedic's blog · published 2023-03-30 · read 2026-09-11

Original: https://www.arkmedic.info/p/a-miscarriage-of-statistics-the-thalidomide

*A source is testimony, not proof. The document itself is never republished here.*

## Who is named (11)

- [Hospital Episode Statistics (HES)](https://truthscore.com/entity/12d49721)
- [Naert 2021 study](https://truthscore.com/entity/1bb8b6d1)
- [COVID-19 vaccine](https://truthscore.com/entity/3ee4edf6)
- [V-safe registry](https://truthscore.com/entity/44533f5c)
- [Zauche dataset](https://truthscore.com/entity/57e5dac4)
- [TGA](https://truthscore.com/entity/7441c27a)
- [Viki Male](https://truthscore.com/entity/9226d1aa)
- [thalidomide](https://truthscore.com/entity/b1a4d09c)
- [Kevin Ault](https://truthscore.com/entity/d4b35a18)
- [CDC](https://truthscore.com/entity/df9a0912)
- [Lauren Zauche](https://truthscore.com/entity/fb03cd44)

## What it added

- [The normal miscarriage rate of a healthy population is somewhere around 5-6%.](https://truthscore.com/claim/131e6289)
  > The normal miscarriage rate of a healthy population is somewhere around 5-6%.
- [For years, studies have been misrepresenting rates of 15-20% so that when new drugs are tested in pregnancy, a doubling of the miscarriage rate will fly under…](https://truthscore.com/claim/5099f319)
  > For years, studies have been misrepresenting rates of 15-20% so that when new drugs are tested in pregnancy, a doubling of the miscarriage rate will fly under the radar.
- [The COVID vaccine was sold as "safe in pregnancy" when it was far from it.](https://truthscore.com/claim/78d0d68c)
  > This is how the COVID vaccine managed to be sold as "safe in pregnancy" when it was far from it.
- [The data was misrepresented by the CDC and others to cover up the scandal.](https://truthscore.com/claim/bdab55cb)
  > This article shows you how the data was misrepresented by the CDC and others to cover up the scandal.
- [The Naert dataset is the biggest publication of miscarriage data to date.](https://truthscore.com/claim/106bf881)
  > The Naert dataset is the biggest (to date) publication of miscarriage data where the authors were able to follow a whole cohort of pregnancies.
- [The Naert study ignored pregnancy losses prior to 6 weeks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/b31715e1)
  > One criticism levelled against the Naert paper ... is that it ignores pregnancy losses prior to 6 weeks.
- [Zauche also removed early pregnancy losses from her analysis.](https://truthscore.com/claim/2ba2bccc)
  > However, Zauche (who collected the V-safe pregnancy data for the COVID vaccine registry) also removed these patients from her analysis.
- [The hazard ratio comparing the Zauche cohort to the Naert cohort is 1.5, indicating a 1.5‑fold increase in miscarriages.](https://truthscore.com/claim/771c1b6c)
  > The p‑value on this calculation was 0.001 meaning that it was a one‑in‑a‑thousand chance that this was a random event.
- [The p‑value for the hazard‑ratio calculation was 0.001.](https://truthscore.com/claim/f8574f39)
  > The p‑value on this calculation was 0.001 meaning that it was a one‑in‑a‑thousand chance that this was a random event.
- [In the later Zauche presentation there were an estimated 775 miscarriages out of 6,352 first‑trimester pregnancies.](https://truthscore.com/claim/3f61863e)
  > In that presentation there were an estimated 775 miscarriages out of 6,352 first trimester pregnancies.
- [The raw miscarriage rate from the later Zauche data is 12.2%.](https://truthscore.com/claim/908fb6cd)
  > Plugging these numbers into our model we get a “raw” miscarriage rate of 12.2% (775/6352).
- [The background miscarriage rate of a normal population in 2023 is 5‑6%.](https://truthscore.com/claim/508189bf)
  > The background miscarriage rate of a normal population in 2023 is 5‑6%.
- [The miscarriage rate in vaccinated women has jumped to 15%.](https://truthscore.com/claim/c78fd604)
  > Following the rollout of the COVID vaccines all evidence that has been submitted shows that the miscarriage rate in vaccinated women has jumped to 15%.
- [The increase in miscarriage rate seen with the mRNA COVID vaccines is bigger than that seen with thalidomide.](https://truthscore.com/claim/0e2de447)
  > The increase in miscarriages seen with the mRNA COVID vaccines is bigger than that seen with thalidomide.
- [According to the latest UK HES statistics there were 103,277 miscarriages in 1,889,974 pregnancies for 2018‑2021, which is 5.5%.](https://truthscore.com/claim/63d70fa4)
  > According to the latest UK HES statistics 103,277 miscarriages in 1,889,974 pregnancies for 2018-2021, which is 5.5%.
- [The UK miscarriage rate has remained relatively constant at under 6% since 2013.](https://truthscore.com/claim/dfd91afc)
  > This figure has remained relatively constant at under 6% since 2013.
- [HES data do not include terminations, which have remained above 200,000 annually since 2018.](https://truthscore.com/claim/44caee15)
  > The HES data do not include terminations (“induced abortions”), which have remained above 200,000 annually since 2018.
- [Adding abortions into the denominator reduces the background miscarriage rate in the UK to 4.1%.](https://truthscore.com/claim/d4a0987e)
  > Adding abortions into the denominator reduces the background miscarriage rate in the UK to 4.1%.
- [The CDC chose not to invite a control group to their V‑safe study.](https://truthscore.com/claim/76dc4555)
  > The CDC chose not to invite a control group to their study (I wonder why).
- [The CDC deliberately chose not to create a control group to hide the increase in miscarriages.](https://truthscore.com/claim/26c12534)
  > They deliberately chose not to, to hide the increase in miscarriages.
- [The CDC has not released the V‑safe data for independent analysis.](https://truthscore.com/claim/a57abf01)
  > The CDC refuse to release the V‑safe data for independent analysis.
- [The TGA had information in preclinical reports that there was an increase in pre‑implantation losses in animal studies.](https://truthscore.com/claim/fc446e27)
  > The TGA had information in preclinical reports that there was an increase in preimplantation losses in animal studies.
- [The CDC, Viki Male, Kevin Ault and others have covered up the increased miscarriage rate.](https://truthscore.com/claim/c5587723)
  > The CDC, Viki Male, Kevin Ault, and the main proponents of the “it’s safe, honest” dogma, have covered it up.
- [A poll asks whether the V‑safe pregnancy registry data should be immediately released for public academic re‑analysis.](https://truthscore.com/claim/f7b0a290)
  > Should the V‑safe pregnancy registry data be immediately released for public academic re‑analysis?

## Where it collides

- [The CDC deliberately chose not to create a control group to hide the increase in miscarriages.](https://truthscore.com/claim/26c12534) — collides with [Months later, Dr. Anthony Fauci, as the Biden White House’s chief medical adviser, said tens of thousands of vaccinated pregnant women show no indication of…](https://truthscore.com/claim/29142ada) ([Fauci privately warned of miscarriage risk linked to COVID vaccine while publicly claiming no issues, newly released texts show](https://truthscore.com/source/72b0ab30))

## Questions it bears on

- [What is the miscarriage rate among pregnant women who receive a COVID-19 vaccine?](https://truthscore.com/question/08e83e3d)

## What it cost

Reading this document into the graph cost $0.01.
