# What caused the Secret Service to fail to receive warnings?
*Canonical page:* https://truthscore.com/question/what-caused-the-secret-service-to-fail-to-receive-warnings--cf3619a6
*Numbers under lens:* **Evidence-weighted** (`log-odds@1`)
*Machine twins:* https://truthscore.com/question/what-caused-the-secret-service-to-fail-to-receive-warnings--cf3619a6.md · JSON at https://truthscore.com/api/v1
Exclusive · promoted 2026-07-19 · 1 source bear on this.

## The split — every branch

Belief may rank these branches; it may never hide one. The last row is a branch too.

| Share | Branch | Legs | Challenges | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | [The Secret Service got everything wrong leading up to the shooting.](https://truthscore.com/claim/32046a53) | 0 | 0 | supported |
| 11% | [The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/88e593b2) | 0 | 0 | supported |
| 6.7% | [The shooting was an inside job within the government.](https://truthscore.com/claim/4c26a82a) | 0 | 0 | supported |
| **67%** | **unknown — none of the above** | | | always shown |

## Branch: The Secret Service got everything wrong leading up to the shooting.

16% under Evidence-weighted. [The Secret Service got everything wrong leading up to the shooting.](https://truthscore.com/claim/32046a53)

**Supports**

- [The Secret Service only got five calls and three texts about the would-be assassin.](https://truthscore.com/claim/5d3fdac3) — circumstantial — **diagnostic** (touches only this branch) — sources: [Widow of man killed in Butler Trump assassination attempt claims it was an 'inside job'
](https://truthscore.com/source/14573fdf)
- [Shooter Thomas Crooks had little online activity, making it increasingly difficult to build a profile.](https://truthscore.com/claim/484d9396) — circumstantial — **diagnostic** (touches only this branch) — sources: [Widow of man killed in Butler Trump assassination attempt claims it was an 'inside job'
](https://truthscore.com/source/14573fdf)

**Challenges**

- *Nothing argues against this branch yet.*

## Branch: The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.

11% under Evidence-weighted. [The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/88e593b2)

**Supports**

- [Local law enforcement was aware of a suspicious person who later turned out to be Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/c42ea3a8) — circumstantial — **diagnostic** (touches only this branch) — sources: [Widow of man killed in Butler Trump assassination attempt claims it was an 'inside job'
](https://truthscore.com/source/14573fdf)

**Challenges**

- *Nothing argues against this branch yet.*

**If this were true…**

- [The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/e76de823) — inferred by **position-to-know**, 3 critical questions still open

## Branch: The shooting was an inside job within the government.

6.7% under Evidence-weighted. [The shooting was an inside job within the government.](https://truthscore.com/claim/4c26a82a)

**Supports**

- [Shooter Thomas Crooks was not acting alone and there was a massive political plot to assassinate President Donald Trump.](https://truthscore.com/claim/eaadc3d5) — circumstantial — **diagnostic** (touches only this branch) — sources: [Widow of man killed in Butler Trump assassination attempt claims it was an 'inside job'
](https://truthscore.com/source/14573fdf)

**Challenges**

- *Nothing argues against this branch yet.*

## What would change this

- Open critical question: [Was the source actually positioned to observe or receive this?](https://truthscore.com/claim/39814192) (on [The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/e76de823))
- Open critical question: [Is the account corroborated by an independent source or artifact?](https://truthscore.com/claim/c3e3a141) (on [The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/e76de823))
- Open critical question: [Is the account a restatement of someone else’s, rather than first-hand?](https://truthscore.com/claim/1dc91030) (on [The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/e76de823))
- Untested branch: [The Secret Service did not receive 102 local radio transmissions about Thomas Crooks.](https://truthscore.com/claim/88e593b2)
- Untested branch: [The shooting was an inside job within the government.](https://truthscore.com/claim/4c26a82a)

## Sources bearing on this Question

- [Widow of man killed in Butler Trump assassination attempt claims it was an 'inside job'
](https://truthscore.com/source/14573fdf)

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Belief here is computed from the support/challenge graph, never assigned. If you quote a share, quote the unknown residual with it. Method: https://truthscore.com/method