{
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  "label": "What was the motive for Joshua Kerry's travel of over 500 miles to commit the murder?",
  "url": "/question/what-was-the-motive-for-joshua-kerrys-travel-of-over-500-miles-to--da840599",
  "lens": "log-odds@1",
  "lensName": "Evidence-weighted",
  "asof": null,
  "exclusive": true,
  "promotedAt": "2026-07-21T01:59:49.750Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-07-21T02:10:19.268Z",
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      "kind": "event",
      "label": "Travel of Joshua Kerry to murder"
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      "label": "The family believes that the death of Joshua Kerry's father may have caused him to spiral out of control and commit the murder",
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      "profile": {
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        "shape": "contested",
        "sources": 1,
        "challenges": 3,
        "restatements": 0,
        "contestedTime": false,
        "derivationDepth": 0,
        "supportingClaims": 1
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              "label": "Ann Widdecombe Case Just Got More MYSTERIOUS"
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          "label": "Police raided Joshua Kerry's house and discovered Russian and communist material",
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          "label": "Russian and communist material was discovered on Joshua Kerry's device",
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          "label": "Police enquiries into the defendant's motives are ongoing, including a potential political or terrorist connection.",
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          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": false,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "751884aa-6fba-4c60-86f5-923e63fe4a0f",
              "label": "CPS charges man with murder following death of Ann Widdecombe"
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      ],
      "firings": [],
      "worldsWith": 1,
      "worldsTotal": 2
    }
  ],
  "residual": {
    "share": 0.9788208895449323,
    "answers": 1,
    "spark": [
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    {
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      "kind": "source",
      "label": "Ann Widdecombe Case Just Got More MYSTERIOUS"
    }
  ],
  "narratives": [
    {
      "rank": 1,
      "aggregateBelief": -0.0214066056461264,
      "selection": {
        "da840599-d1a1-4744-a0f8-40e247183036": null
      },
      "terms": [
        {
          "share": 0.9788208895449323,
          "choice": "(agnostic — left open)",
          "lnShare": -0.0214066056461264,
          "questionId": "da840599-d1a1-4744-a0f8-40e247183036",
          "questionLabel": "What was the motive for Joshua Kerry's travel of over 500 miles to commit the murder?"
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      ],
      "prunedByNogood": [],
      "href": "/explore/what-was-the-motive-for-joshua-kerrys-travel-of-over-500-miles-to--da840599?w="
    },
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      "terms": [
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          "choice": "The family believes that the death of Joshua Kerry's father may have caused him to spiral out of control and commit the murder",
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          "questionId": "da840599-d1a1-4744-a0f8-40e247183036",
          "questionLabel": "What was the motive for Joshua Kerry's travel of over 500 miles to commit the murder?"
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  ],
  "openCriticalQuestions": [],
  "honesty": "Shares are belief under the named lens, computed from evidence — never assigned. Quote the residual with the share; leading is not proven; repetition never moves a number."
}