{
  "id": "d9e0b60a-ebac-47b6-85cf-0aacc22b9340",
  "label": "What is the extent of civilian casualties from recent drone strikes?",
  "url": "/question/what-is-the-extent-of-civilian-casualties-from-recent-drone-strikes--d9e0b60a",
  "lens": "log-odds@1",
  "lensName": "Evidence-weighted",
  "asof": null,
  "exclusive": true,
  "promotedAt": "2026-09-12T09:00:22.619Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-08T21:02:01.805Z",
  "subjects": [
    {
      "id": "9aa91021-ad8d-40af-8961-ae37abc75417",
      "kind": "event",
      "label": "drone strike attempt"
    }
  ],
  "branches": [
    {
      "claimId": "14a9409a-001e-4263-91b5-91c667230a5b",
      "label": "A drone strike hit a shopping centre in southeastern Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia, causing a fire and several injuries.",
      "url": "/claim/a-drone-strike-hit-a-shopping-centre-in-southeastern-ukraines--14a9409a",
      "share": null,
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      "dormant": false,
      "profile": null,
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      "worldsWith": 0,
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    },
    {
      "claimId": "8346e6ea-03d9-4814-9964-f3c4ab41dba9",
      "label": "A month earlier, a Russian drone destined for Ukraine struck an apartment building in eastern Romania, injuring two people.",
      "url": "/claim/a-month-earlier-a-russian-drone-destined-for-ukraine-struck-an--8346e6ea",
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    },
    {
      "claimId": "509c5a3c-6ded-457f-8e35-85137dac2b1d",
      "label": "Five children were among 12 people killed in an overnight drone attack on the resort area of Kyrylivka, on the coast of the Sea of Azov near the town of Melitopol in Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia.",
      "url": "/claim/five-children-were-among-12-people-killed-in-an-overnight-drone-attack--509c5a3c",
      "share": null,
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      "profile": null,
      "supports": [
        {
          "claimId": "21deca98-56d1-40ec-88ee-d2ff7a0b0a4b",
          "label": "A further 19 people were wounded in the overnight drone attack on the resort area of Kyrylivka.",
          "direction": "supports",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "strong",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "4da6956d-5982-4d72-b2da-8dcefc9e0135",
              "label": "At least 15 killed in Ukrainian and Russian strikes as holiday camp hit"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "challenges": [],
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      "worldsWith": 0,
      "worldsTotal": 0
    },
    {
      "claimId": "16aa7f28-f090-4f13-9746-566cd9a783dd",
      "label": "In June, a Ukrainian maritime drone exploded at the Black Sea port of Constanta, and three other sea drones exploded outside the port, with no injuries reported.",
      "url": "/claim/in-june-a-ukrainian-maritime-drone-exploded-at-the-black-sea-port-of--16aa7f28",
      "share": null,
      "belief": null,
      "dormant": false,
      "profile": null,
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      "firings": [
        {
          "claimId": "1baab177-f560-4921-8d57-c7ba94eb9d2d",
          "label": "A Ukrainian maritime drone exploded at the Black Sea port of Constanta in June 2026.",
          "scheme": "expert-testimony",
          "version": "v1",
          "premises": [
            {
              "id": "16aa7f28-f090-4f13-9746-566cd9a783dd",
              "label": "In June, a Ukrainian maritime drone exploded at the Black Sea port of Constanta, and three other sea drones exploded outside the port, with no injuries reported."
            }
          ],
          "criticalQuestions": [
            {
              "id": "e9d531be-633e-4c46-bf9c-eea33f94e3f0",
              "label": "Is the claim independently corroborated?",
              "status": "open"
            },
            {
              "id": "9d5c59ca-bf7f-47a2-8587-fef3e17701c6",
              "label": "Does the source have an interest in this conclusion?",
              "status": "open"
            },
            {
              "id": "d75c8eba-eaeb-4b0a-a46a-99cead23019c",
              "label": "Is the source genuinely in a position to know?",
              "status": "open"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "worldsWith": 0,
      "worldsTotal": 0
    }
  ],
  "residual": {
    "share": null,
    "answers": 4,
    "spark": []
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "4da6956d-5982-4d72-b2da-8dcefc9e0135",
      "kind": "source",
      "label": "At least 15 killed in Ukrainian and Russian strikes as holiday camp hit"
    }
  ],
  "narratives": [],
  "openCriticalQuestions": [
    {
      "id": "e9d531be-633e-4c46-bf9c-eea33f94e3f0",
      "label": "Is the claim independently corroborated?",
      "status": "open",
      "from": "A Ukrainian maritime drone exploded at the Black Sea port of Constanta in June 2026.",
      "inferences": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "9d5c59ca-bf7f-47a2-8587-fef3e17701c6",
      "label": "Does the source have an interest in this conclusion?",
      "status": "open",
      "from": "A Ukrainian maritime drone exploded at the Black Sea port of Constanta in June 2026.",
      "inferences": 1
    },
    {
      "id": "d75c8eba-eaeb-4b0a-a46a-99cead23019c",
      "label": "Is the source genuinely in a position to know?",
      "status": "open",
      "from": "A Ukrainian maritime drone exploded at the Black Sea port of Constanta in June 2026.",
      "inferences": 1
    }
  ],
  "honesty": "Shares are belief under the named lens, computed from evidence — never assigned. Quote the residual with the share; leading is not proven; repetition never moves a number."
}