{
  "id": "706c56bf-a622-41ec-adee-a87a9ca0d5c5",
  "label": "What motivated the Central Synagogue attack?",
  "url": "/question/what-motivated-the-central-synagogue-attack--706c56bf",
  "lens": "log-odds@1",
  "lensName": "Evidence-weighted",
  "asof": null,
  "exclusive": false,
  "promotedAt": "2026-09-11T22:00:15.768Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-10-08T15:03:06.001Z",
  "subjects": [
    {
      "id": "dbc2018d-1fcc-40fa-ad1a-12c4bf57b13a",
      "kind": "entity",
      "label": "Larry Montes"
    }
  ],
  "branches": [
    {
      "claimId": "be65ee58-fd27-4c62-8b7b-2ff5bf410ca1",
      "label": "Larry Montes called the congregants “swine” and “fake Jews” in statements to the police after his arrest.",
      "url": "/claim/larry-montes-called-the-congregants-swine-and-fake-jews-in-statements--be65ee58",
      "share": null,
      "belief": null,
      "dormant": false,
      "profile": null,
      "supports": [
        {
          "claimId": "c7e970ba-d08d-4872-b90b-14186dd86b88",
          "label": "Larry Montes was charged with two counts of assault as a hate crime and one count of criminal mischief as a hate crime.",
          "direction": "supports",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "moderate",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
              "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "claimId": "07f7c231-eda8-4e24-a615-10ac53ea31f3",
          "label": "Larry Montes filled his Facebook page with posts about Israel and Judaism in the months leading up to the attack.",
          "direction": "supports",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "moderate",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
              "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "claimId": "ceb99508-da5c-4d79-a002-873c627ea7f2",
          "label": "Larry Montes reposted a video comparing New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani to Iran’s Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.",
          "direction": "supports",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "moderate",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
              "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "challenges": [],
      "firings": [],
      "worldsWith": 0,
      "worldsTotal": 0
    },
    {
      "claimId": "4de5bc85-5b0a-4008-99d6-2bfb83a22f86",
      "label": "Larry Montes might not have been in his right mind.",
      "url": "/claim/larry-montes-might-not-have-been-in-his-right-mind--4de5bc85",
      "share": null,
      "belief": null,
      "dormant": false,
      "profile": null,
      "supports": [
        {
          "claimId": "77fac7b1-e5aa-4235-8a79-b24cb5c2aaa7",
          "label": "Larry Montes reposted a video featuring a Jewish man disputing claims that the Talmud contains disparaging remarks about Jesus.",
          "direction": "supports",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "moderate",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
              "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "claimId": "0bd4ed7e-e529-4927-91bd-7672b5cefff7",
          "label": "The Facebook page’s recent posts are more disjointed and include screenshots showing attempts to translate seemingly incoherent Spanish text into Hebrew.",
          "direction": "supports",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "moderate",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
              "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "challenges": [
        {
          "claimId": "dd0af6e2-f43c-4fba-b09f-994d13cd8285",
          "label": "Larry Montes posted a photo of the map of Israel with the caption “Keep Israel in your heart.”",
          "direction": "challenges",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "moderate",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
              "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "firings": [],
      "worldsWith": 0,
      "worldsTotal": 0
    },
    {
      "claimId": "ce10fcb3-f17c-4a90-b000-3160627deace",
      "label": "Larry Montes was mentally traumatized because of his desire to convert to Judaism.",
      "url": "/claim/larry-montes-was-mentally-traumatized-because-of-his-desire-to-convert--ce10fcb3",
      "share": null,
      "belief": null,
      "dormant": false,
      "profile": null,
      "supports": [
        {
          "claimId": "71d1cb0e-9847-4f8e-8720-7276faa4c8dd",
          "label": "Larry Montes expressed a desire to convert to the Jewish faith.",
          "direction": "supports",
          "supportKind": "circumstantial",
          "strength": "moderate",
          "assertionKind": null,
          "diagnostic": true,
          "sources": [
            {
              "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
              "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "challenges": [],
      "firings": [],
      "worldsWith": 0,
      "worldsTotal": 0
    }
  ],
  "residual": {
    "share": null,
    "answers": 3,
    "spark": []
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "948aae79-7ca7-4fdf-936a-d78554ff0e27",
      "kind": "source",
      "label": "Man charged in Central Synagogue attack linked to posts about Israel, Judaism, and Mamdani"
    },
    {
      "id": "33d40861-cbeb-4b56-9624-209fcff77e62",
      "kind": "source",
      "label": "Larry Montes, the man who attacked a female congregant and a security guard at NYC synagogue last week turned out to be a Zionist fanatic. His aunt claims he was \"mentally traumatized\" because of his desire to convert to Judaism."
    }
  ],
  "narratives": [],
  "openCriticalQuestions": [],
  "honesty": "Shares are belief under the named lens, computed from evidence — never assigned. Quote the residual with the share; leading is not proven; repetition never moves a number."
}